Inventory of the William John Fellner Papers

Finding aid prepared by Carol M. Connell, revised by Beth Goder
Hoover Institution Archives
434 Galvez Mall
Stanford University
Stanford, CA, 94305-6010
(650) 723-3563
archives@hoover.stanford.edu
© 2013


Title: William John Fellner papers
Date (inclusive): 1938-1985
Date (bulk): Bulk, 1975-1983
Collection Number: 87005
Contributing Institution: Hoover Institution Archives
Language of Material: English
Physical Description: 67 manuscript boxes, 1 card file box, 2 phonotape cassettes (27.3 linear feet)
Abstract: Correspondence, speeches and writings, conference papers, reports, studies, testimony, charts, and statistics related to economic conditions and governmental economic policy in the United States, and laissez-faire economic theory, including particularly questions of unemployment, inflation, and monetary policy.
Language of the Materials : The collection is in English.
Physical Location: Hoover Institution Archives
Creator: Fellner, William John, 1905-

Access

Collection is open for research. Use copies of all sound recordings in this collection are available.

Publication Rights

For copyright status, please contact the Hoover Institution Archives.

Preferred Citation

[Identification of item], William John Fellner papers, [Box number], Hoover Institution Archives.

Acquisition Information

Acquired by the Hoover Institution Archives in 1987.

Accruals

Materials may have been added to the collection since this finding aid was prepared. To determine if this has occurred, find the collection in Stanford University's online catalog at http://searchworks.stanford.edu/ . Materials have been added to the collection if the number of boxes listed in the online catalog is larger than the number of boxes listed in this finding aid.

Related Collections

Milton Friedman Papers, Hoover Institution Archives Gottfried Haberler Papers, Hoover Institution Archives Fritz Machlup Papers, Hoover Institution Archives

Biographical Note

1905 Born, Budapest, Hungary
1929 Ph.D. in economics, University of Berlin
1929-1938 Partner in family business in Hungarian manufacturing industry
1939-1952 Member of economics faculty at University of California, Berkeley
1942 Author, A Treatise on War Inflation
1946 Author, Monetary Policies and Full Employment
1949 Author, Competition Among the Few: Oligopoly and Similar Market Structures
1952-1973 Professor of economics, Yale University
1956 Author, Trends and Cycles in Economic Activity: An Introduction to Problems of Economic Growth
1956-1958 Member, Executive Committee, American Economic Association
1960 Author, Emergence and Content of Modern Economic Analysis
1965 Author, Probability and Profit: A Study of Economic Behavior Along Bayesian Lines
1969 President, American Economic Association
1970-1983 Adviser, Brookings Panel on Economic Activity
1972 Author, with Phillip Cagan, Economic Policies and Inflation in the Sixties
1973 Author, with Phillip Cagan and Marten Estey, A New Look at Inflation: Economic Policy in the Early 1970s
1973-1975 Member, Council of Economic Advisors
1973-1983 Resident scholar, American Enterprise Institute
1976 Author, Towards a Reconstruction of Macroeconomics
1983 Died

Scope and Content of Collection

The papers document the career of economist William John Fellner through correspondence, speeches and writings, conference papers, reports, studies, testimony, charts, and statistics related to economic conditions and governmental economic policy in the United States, and laissez-faire economic theory, including questions of unemployment, inflation, and monetary policy.
Feller immigrated to the United States in 1938, joining the economics faculty at the University of California, Berkeley. He was a professor at Yale University from 1952 to 1973, after which he became a member of the Council of Economic Advisors. The Biographical file includes material from Fellner's memorial service, as well as his Festschrift.
The Correspondence contains Fellner's letters to and from economists, including scholars associated with the American Enterprise Institute, such as Phillip Cagan and Gottfried Haberler. These files often contain preliminary drafts of scholarly papers sent as enclosures.
Fellner wrote about a variety of topics in economics, including inflation, full employment, balance of payments, oligopoly, and tax indexing. The Speeches and writings include typescripts of Fellner's last published book, Towards a Reconstruction of Macroeconomics, as well as typescripts and proofs of his scholarly articles.
Fellner was a resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute, where he directed the Contemporary Economic Problems project to publish annual volumes on topics in economics. The American Enterprise Institute file includes correspondence and papers submitted to the Contemporary Economic Problems project, as well as a transcript of a presentation given by Friedrich August von Hayek in 1975.
After retiring from his professorial work, Fellner was involved in several economics organizations and boards. The Subject file contains correspondence, memoranda, and conference papers related to groups such as the Brookings Panel on Economic Activity, the Congressional Budget Office, the Council of Economic Advisors, and the Gold Commission.
A significant portion of the collection contains Writings by others, mainly in the form of conference papers or preliminary drafts send to Fellner by other economists.
The collection includes Sound recordings of the Public Policy Forums program. In a recording from 1977, Henry Aaron and Rudolph Penner discuss ways to avoid bankruptcy of the Social Security program. A recording from 1982 contains an economic policy discussion with Phillip Cagan, William Fellner, Rudolph Penner, and Herbert Stein.
Source: Connell, Carol M. Reforming the World Monetary System: Fritz Machlup and the Bellagio Group. London: Pickering & Chatto, 2013.

Subjects and Indexing Terms

Council of Economic Advisers (U.S.)
Economics.
Economists.
Employment (Economic theory)
Inflation (Finance)
Monetary policy.
Phonotapes.

 

Biographical file 1975-1985

Scope and Contents note

Includes materials from Fellner's memorial service, awards, clippings, and Fellner's Festschrift.
Box 15

American Enterprise Institute personal file 1979-1983

Scope and Contents note

Includes outline of activities at the American Enterprise Institute, correspondence, financial documents, and memoranda on Fellner's death
Box 68

Appointment book 1975

Scope and Contents note

Includes memoranda
Box 6

Bernhard-Harms Award 1982

 

Clippings about Fellner

Box 34

1978

Box 44

1980

Box 44

1981

Box 3

1983

Box 12

Festschrift, Economic Progress, Private Values and Public Policy: Essays in Honor of William Fellner 1977

Box 1, 32

Memorial file 1982-1985

Scope and Contents note

Includes biography, bibiliography, and photographs
Box 67

Obituaries and memorial addresses 1983

Box 64

Plaque, National Economists Club 1979

Scope and Contents note

Presented to Fellner in appreciation of his service as a member of the board of governors from 1976 to 1978.
Box 15

Resumes, biographies, bibliographies, and photographs and negatives of Fellner 1976-1982

Box 53

Travel file 1976-1977

 

Correspondence 1972-1984

Scope and Contents note

Contains correspondence with economists and other scholars organized chronologically or alphabetically by individual or organization. Includes academic papers enclosed or filed with correspondence.
 

Chronological file 1978-1983

Box 21

1978

Box 21

1979

Box 21

1980

Box 27

1981

Box 27

1982-1983

Box 12-13

Alphabetical file I 1972-1973

Box 13

A to R 1972-1973

Scope and Contents note

Includes correspondence with Fritz Machlup
Box 12

S to Z 1972-1973

 

Alphabetical file II 1975-1984

Box 66

A 1975-1983

Box 17

Ackley, Gardner 1977-1980

Box 59

Arioli, Silvio 1978

Box 16, 29

B 1975-1983

Box 3

Bailey, Martin 1983

Box 15

Balassa, Bela 1975-1982

Box 15

Baroody, William 1981-1983

Box 33

Bator, Francis 1981

Box 35

Bauer, Peter 1976-1981

Box 5

Bennett, Jack 1975

Box 1

Bennett, William 1975 July

Box 35

Bernstein, Edward 1974-1977

Box 35

Bernstein, Peter 1976

Box 35

Bradford, David 1975-1976

Box 35

Bradley, Gene E. 1975-1976

Box 15

Brookings Institution 1975-1981

Box 15

Brown, Weir 1981

Box 15

Burns, Arthur 1981-1982

Box 16

C 1976-1983

 

Cagan, Phillip

Box 15

1976-1978

Box 6

1981

Box 1

Carson, Carol 1982

Scope and Contents note

Memoranda concerning Ruggles study
Box 15

Chipman, John S. 1978-1980

Box 15

Chiswick, Barry R. 1975-1983

Box 15, 61

Civil Service Commission 1976

Box 15, 60

Cochrane, John 1982

Box 33

Colander, David C. 1978-1979

Box 33

Congress 1975

Box 35

Congressional Budget Office 1975-1983

Box 33

D 1977-1982

Box 36, 42

Dadd, C. Mark 1982

Box 36

David, Paul 1982

Box 6

DeWald, William 1982

Box 41

E 1978-1982

Box 44

Ellis, Howard 1978-1983

Box 44

Engels, Wolfram 1979

Box 56

Erb, Richard 1979-1983

Box 56

F 1975-1983

Scope and Contents note

Includes correspondence with Edgar Feige
Box 56

Fand, David 1975-1981

Box 67

Feldstein, Martin S. 1975-1983

Box 1

Fellner, Marcelo 1984

Box 56

Fiedler, Edgar R. 1976-1977

Box 1

Field, Tom, memorandum 1975 July

Box 59

Flaim, Paul O. 1978

Box 61

Fleischer, Robert 1976

Box 56

Frankel, S. Herbert 1979-1981

Box 50

Friedman, Benjamin M. 1980-1982

Box 32

Friedman, Charles 1980-1981

Box 26

G 1977-1982

Box 27

Georgetown University 1978

Box 28

German embassy correspondence, Ruyter-Volkswagen Foundation 1978-1979

Box 27

German Order of Merit 1979

Scope and Contents note

Includes speech by Fellner
Box 6, 28

Giersch, Herbert 1975-1983

Box 29

Gradison, Bill 1978-1981

Box 29

Greenfield, Harry 1976-1978

Box 29

Greenwald, Douglas 1978-1979

Box 28-29

H 1975-1982

 

Haberler, Gottfried

Box 9

Correspondence with Fellner undated

Box 1, 2, 5

Correspondence with others

Scope and Contents note

Includes correspondence on tax indexing
Box 29

Hamburger, Michael J. 1977-1981

Box 29

Harris, Lowell C. 1975-1978

Box 29

Hogan, Warren 1979-1980

Box 3

Hoover Institution Archives 1979-1984

Box 29

I 1975-1980

Box 29

International Monetary Fund 1980-1983

Scope and Contents note

Includes writing by Fellner from the International Monetary System Under Stress AEI Conference
Box 29

J 1975-1981

Box 1, 6

Jaszi, George 1981-1983

Box 27

1975-1983

Scope and Contents note

Includes business reports
Box 1

1981-1982

Box 6, 37

1983

Box 1

Journal of Economic Literature 1978 August

Box 28

Junz, Helen 1977-1978

Box 32, 34

K 1975-1983

Box 53

Kalchbrenner, John

Scope and Contents note

Includes enclosures on money demand and velocity to prepare for testimony
Box 3, 34

Kalman, R. E. 1979-1983

Box 50

Kato, Koichi 1983

Box 34

Katz, Samual 1976-1981

Box 34

Kemeny, Stephen 1979-1980

Box 34

Kemp-Roth and Steiger bills 1978

Box 2, 42

Kendrick, John W. 1976-1977

Box 34

Kudlow, Lawrence A. undated

Box 28

L 1977-1982

Box 27

Lademann, John R. 1979-1982

Box 27

Lamfalussy, Alexandre 1977

Box 27

Larkins, Daniel 1978-1982

Box 27

Lehrman, Lewis E. 1975-1980

Box 34

Leijonhufvud, Axel 1978-1982

Box 2

Levin, Jay 1976

Box 17

Levitan, Sar A. 1978-1979

Box 17

M 1975-1982

Box 17

Mc 1976-1983

Box 17

MacLaury, Bruce 1977-1982

Box 16

McCracken, Paul W. 1975-1978

Box 16

Meltzer, Allan H. 1979-1981

Box 5

Mitchell 1976

Box 17

Miyamota, Kunio 1979-1981

Box 17

Molnar, Ferenc 1977

Box 17

Moore, Geoffrey H. 1978

Box 17

Mundell, Robert A. 1975-1979

Box 17

Murphy, J. Carter 1975-1981

Box 16

N 1975-1982

Box 16

National Science Foundation 1976-1981

Box 39

Needham, James 1974

Box 5, 16

Nelson, Richard 1976-1978

Box 44

O 1975-1982

Box 58

Okun, Arthur 1975-1981

Box 58

P 1975-1982

Box 56

Penner, Rudy J. 1978-1982

Box 53

Perlman, Mark 1975-1983

Box 53

Peterson, William H. 1977-1978

Box 24

R 1976-1981

Box 24

Reuss, Henry S. 1977

Box 24

Richter, Rudolf 1977-1980

Box 2

Rottenberg, Irving 1975

Box 22, 33

S 1975-1983

Box 22

Scitovsky, Tibor 1982-1983

Box 24

Seidman, Frank E. 1974-1976

Scope and Contents note

Includes meeting minutes of board of trustees of the Frank E. Seidman Distinguished Award in Policial Economy
Box 22, 50

Shadow European Economic Policy Committee and Shadow Open Market Committee 1979-1982

Scope and Contents note

Includes letters of Allan Meltzer and Karl Brunner
Box 22

Shannon, John 1977-1980

Box 2

Shieh, Francis 1977

Box 22

Simon, Julian L. 1977-1982

Box 22

Sinai, Michael 1977-1978

Box 1, 30

Shultz, George P. 1983

Box 3

Skorov, Georgy 1982

Box 22

Solomon, Robert 1978-1983

Box 3, 23

Stein, Herbert 1982-1983

Box 2

Sunley, Emil M. 1975

Box 23

T 1975-1983

Scope and Contents note

Includes correspondence with Robert Triffin
Box 22, 29

Tax indexation 1975, 1981

Scope and Contents note

Includes correspondence with William L. Armstrong
Box 22

Taylor, John B. 1978

Box 3

Thimmesch, Nick 1983

Box 22

Tobin, James 1977

Box 36

Toshida, Seiichi 1983

Box 22

Tsiang, S. C. 1977-1981

Box 21

Tumlir, Jim 1975-1981

Box 61

Turek, Joan Lee 1976

Box 25

U 1978-1983

Box 25, 28

U.S. News and World Report 1981

Scope and Contents note

Includes interview of Fellner
Box 23

V 1979-1982

Box 23

Van Duyne, Carl 1975-1976

Box 23

Vaubel, Roland 1979

Box 24

Volkswagen Foundation 1979

Box 23

Von Furstenberg, George 1977-1983

Box 23

W 1975-1982

Box 24

Wachter, Micahel L. 1978

Box 24, 42

Wallich, Henry C. 1976-1981

Box 21

Wall Street Journal 1977-1983

Box 21

Weidenbaum, Murray 1976-1981

Box 21

White, William H. 1975

Box 21

Whitman, Marina 1975-1979

Box 14, 25, 41

Willett, Thomas 1978-1981

Box 49

Witteveen, Johannes H. 1977

Box 49

Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars 1975-1978

Box 49

X, Y, Z 1978-1982

 

Speeches and writings 1938-1983

Scope and Contents note

Includes typescripts and galley proofs of Fellner's writings on economics.
Box 2

"Appraising the Cost of Disinflation," draft undated

Scope and Contents note

Paper for inclusion in Egon Sohmen Festschrift
Box 5

Article in The Public Stake in Union Power undated

Box 28

"Comment on Charles Schultze's Papers: A Different Interpretation of the Same and Further Facts" undated

Box 6, 37, 47

"Comments on Concepts of an 'Undisturbed Path' of the Economy" undated

Box 2

"The Core of the Controversy about Reducing Inflation: An Introductory Analysis" undated

Box 30

"The Credibility Effect, Rational Expectations and the Contribution of the Gramlich Study to the Debate" undated

Box 47

"A Critique of Fiscal Policies Based on the Conventional Concept of Potential Output" undated

Box 11

Discussion of national income accounts conclusions undated

Scope and Contents note

Most likely by Fellner
Box 11

"Employment Policy, Money and Inflation" undated

Box 9, 37, 67

"Failure of the M1 Approach in Monetary Theory: The Need to Look at Broader Aggregates," with Larkins undated

Box 1

"Gold: A Preliminary Survey of Findings and Conclusions," American Enterprise Institute undated

Box 55, 59

"Inflationary Overtaxation: Our Confusing Record" undated

Box 8

"Macroeconomic Considerations Relating to the 1979 Budget" undated

Box 58-59, 68

"Memorandum on the Taxation of Corporate Revaluation Gains" undated

Box 1

"Money, Manpower and Inflation" undated

Box 47

"Notes Which Professor Cagan May Want to Use With As Many Changes, Omissions, and Additions as He Prefers, When Presenting our Joint Position at Brookings" undated

Box 35

"On Monetary-Policy Problems of Interest to Those Whose Decisions Are Complementary with Fed Policy," memorandum undated

Box 2

Preface to Contemporary Economic Problems undated

Box 4

"Production, Employment and Induced Innovations: Theoretical and Empirical Exploration of Growth Rates," introduction, part 1, and part 3 undated

Box 1, 37

"A Project on the Relation of Political Trends to Economic Analysis," draft undated

Box 9, 35, 55

"Salient Features of Legislation That Would Incorporate the Main Suggestions of the Study: 'Correcting Taxes for Inflation'" undated

Box 9, 31, 55

"Taxes in an Era of Rising Prices: In What Sense Indexation?" undated

Box 1

"To the Valid Core of Rational Expectations," abstract and guide to the paper undated

Box 14

"Views Presented to the Gold Commission" undated

Box 5

"Savings, Investment and the Problem of Neutral Money" 1938 April

Box 5

"Average Cost Pricing and the Theory of Uncertainty" 1946 April

Box 5

"Tax Program for Sustained Mobilization," with Butters et al. 1951

Box 5

"Maintaining and Restoring Balance in International Payments," with Machlup and Triffin 1966 May

Box 5

"Specific Interpretations of Learning by Doing" 1969 May

Box 5

"Land in Fellner's Model of Economic Growth" 1970

Box 5

"Trends in the Activities Generating Technological Progress" 1970

Box 5, 34

"Empirical Support for a Theory of Induced Innovations" 1971

Box 34

"Phillips-type Approach or Acceleration?" reprint 1971

Box 5

"Tensions at Full Utilization" 1972

Box 10, 12

"Controlled Floating and the Confused Issue of Money Illusion" 1973

Box 5, 66

Speeches, Council of Economic Advisers 1974

Box 5

"A Strange Expansion" 1974

Box 30

"Discussion Paper Relating to the Shoven-Bulow Study" 1975

Box 59

Letter to the editor of the New York Times 1975

Box 9, 55

"Monetary Versus Monetarist Theories" 1975

Box 5, 53, 55

"Revisiting the 'Austrian' Time Periods with Current Tax Policy in Mind," Conference on Tax Research 1975, Department of the Treasury 1975

Box 9

Testimony at the hearing of the Committee on the Budget of the United State Senate 1975

Box 51, 59, 64

"Testimony Before the Committee on Ways and Means of the House of Representatives" 1975

Box 58-59

"Why Indexed Tax Systems Provide the Needed Frame of Reference," speech, U.S. Civil Service Commission Executive Seminar Center 1975

Box 9

"Why We Must Insist on Exchagne-Rate Flexibility: Observations for the June 18th Conference at the Treasury" 1975

Box 64

"Comments and Discussion," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 1976

Box 10, 20, 35

"Comments on the Shoven-Bulow Paper" 1976

Box 8

"Criteria for Demand-Management Policy in View of Past Failures," preliminary draft 1976

Box 42, 56, 67

"Interpretation of a Regularity in the Behavior of M2," Fellner and Dan Larkins 1976-1977

Box 9, 37, 53

"Lessons From the Failure of Demand-Management Policies: A Look at the Theoretical Foundations" circa 1976

 

Towards a Reconstruction of Macroeconomics

Box 64

Correspondence 1976

Scope and Contents note

Includes letters from W. A. Johr and Robert Triffin
Box 53, 57

Typescripts 1976

Box 10, 59

"Comments on Orley Ashenfelter's Paper," for Brookings Conference on November 30, 1977 1977

Box 5, 20, 35

"Desirable and Undesirable Types of Coordination: The Case Against Requiring Countries to Expand More Rapidly for 'Sharing the Oil Deficit'" 1977

Box 66

"Fewer Nonworkers and Yet More Unemployed in the Population" 1977

Box 2, 19

"Gearing Demand Management to Supply Behavior in a Market Economy" 1977

 

Modern Market Economy 1977-1978

Scope and Contents note

Project for the American Enterprise Institute to create a volume describing an economic program for a modern market economy. Fellner, Herbert Stein,and Hendrik Houthakker participated in the project.
Box 61

General 1977

Box 36

Background papers 1977

Box 11, 25

Chapter drafts 1977-1978

Box 3, 25

Larkins, Dan, "Background Paper on Monetary and Fiscal Policy for Modern Market Economy Project" 1977

Scope and Contents note

American Enterprise Institute Modern Market Economy Project
Box 3

Mead, Walter J., "Energy and the Environment" 1978

Box 5, 21, 67

"Money Supply and the Budget: Current and Future Problems of Demand Management" 1977

Box 2, 48

"More Employment and Yet More Unemployment: Structural Factors Behind the Paradox" 1977

Box 2

"Problems to Keep in Mind When It Comes to Tax Reform" 1977

Box 2

"Productivity Trends, Profitability and Uncertainties Facing Investors," draft 1977

Box 1

Prospectus for "A Positive Program for A Modern Market Economy" 1977

Scope and Contents note

Includes list of participants
Box 11

"Schools of Thought In the Mainstream of American Economics," Hungarian Economic Association 1977

Box 1, 66

"Summary of Argument on the Uncertainty Expressing itself in the Valuation of Stocks," draft 1977

Box 47

"Why Unemployment Rates Have Been Climbing," Contemporary Economic Problems 1977

Box 11

"Appraising the Cost of Disinflation" 1978

Box 13, 18, 25, 37, 55, 66

"The Bearing of Risk Aversion on Movements of Spot and Forward Exchange Relative to the Dollar," Egon Sohmen festschrift, drafts and correspondence 1978-1980

Box 47

"The Core of the Controversy About Reducing Inflation: Introductory Analysis Relating to Cagan's Study," preface to Contemporary Economic Problems 1978

Box 5

"The Policy Position in Brief, Chapter on Demand Management" 1978

Box 11

"The Sliding Dollar: True and False Issues" 1978

Box 51

Statement of William Fellner, Marvin Kosters, and Herbert Stein before the National Commission, hearing transcript 1978

Scope and Contents note

Includes letter from Mark Rosenblum
Box 47

"Structural Problems Behind Our Measured Unemployment Rates," Contemporary Economic Problems 1978

Box 51

"Testimony Before the Subcommittee on Taxation and Debt Management of the Senate Finance Committee," hearings on tax indexation 1978

Box 47

"American Household Wealth in an Inflationary Period," Contemporary Economic Problems 1979

Box 9, 37

"The Credibility Effect and Rational Expectations: Implications of the Gramlich Study" 1979

Box 47

"Corporate Wealth, After-Tax Profit Rates, and the Weight of Contractual Interest in the Total Yield of Invested Capital," Contemporary Economic Problems 1979

Box 47

"The Declining American Productivity Growth: An Introductory Note," Contemporary Economic Problems 1979

Box 34

"Macro Economic Policies and Economic Performance: Exit the Seventies--Enter the Eighties" 1979

Box 7

"Market Responses to the Inflationary Trend: Changes in the Composition of American Household Wealth and in the Asset-Liability Position of Corporations," Economic Essays in Honour of Stephen Varga (Istvan Varga) 1979-1982

Scope and Contents note

Includes correspondence
Box 67-68

"The Nature of Governmental Involvement in Economic Affairs and Democracy's Prospect of Survival" 1979

Box 9

"Neo-Keynesianism, Monetarism, and the Short and Long Run," Lerner Festschrift 1979

Box 16

"Produktivität und wirtschaftspolitisches Milieu in den Vereinigten Staaten," Neue Zürcher Zeitung 1979

Box 39

Remarks at Public Policy Conference 1979

Box 27

"Remarks by William Fellner at the Embassy of the Federal Republic of Germany on Receipt of the Commander's Cross of the German Order of Merit" 1979

Box 51

"Testimony Before the Subcommittee on Economic Stabilization of the Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs of the United States Senate" 1979

Scope and Contents note

Includes correspondence
Box 9

"Comment on the Paper by Messrs. Laird and Korb," American Enterprise Institute seminar 1980

Box 25, 47, 55

"Corporate Asset Liability Decisions in View of the Low Market Valuation of Equity," Contemporary Economic Problems 1980

Box 55

"Full Demand Disinflation in One Step and the Problem of Shock Reducers," part III 1980

Box 4, 7, 24, 37, 50

"Gradualism Versus Prompt and Full Demand Disinflation with Shock Reducers," Group of Thirty paper 1980-1981

Scope and Contents note

Includes correspondence
Box 7, 26, 63

"Gold and the Uneasy Case for Responsibly Managed Fiat Money," Herbert Giersch Festschrift 1980-1983

Scope and Contents note

Includes correspondence
Box 26, 45, 47

"Introductory Remarks on Demand Disinflation: What if Gradualism Should Fail Despite Its Merits?" Contemporary Economic Problems 1980

Box 13

"March into Socialism, or Viable Postwar Stage of Capitalism?" chapter in Schumpeter's Vision, correspondence and drafts 1980-1981

Box 10

Paper for the Reagan/Bush Inflation Task Force Meeting headed by Paul McCracken 1980

Box 9

"Policy Practices and Perry's Norm Shifts: The Horse and the Cart," Brookings Panel on Economic Activity 1980

Box 7

"What if Gradualism Should Nevertheless Fail?" draft for Contemporary Economic Problems introduction 1980

Box 1, 4, 9, 13

"The Valid Core of Rational Expectations Theory and the Problem of Exchange-Rate Relations," paper for Triffin volume 1980-1981

Box 48

Conference version, correspondence, typescripts, and proofs 1979-1980

Box 1, 4, 41, 46, 54-55, 67

Typescripts 1980

Box 13

Typescripts and correspondence 1980-1981

Box 12, 37, 54

"An Appraisal of the State of Monetary Policy," paper for Conference Board, Colloquium on Alternatives for Economic Policy 1981

Scope and Contents note

Includes typescripts, correspondence, and colloquium summary
Box 9

"The Austrians Revisited with a Timely Policy Problem in Mind" 1981

Box 9

"The Chances of Reasonably Soft Landing after a Period of Overheating" circa 1981

Box 10

"Comments on Professor Robert Triffin's Paper on the Threat to World Economic Order" 1981

Box 9-10

"Dealing With Inflationary Overtaxation: A Confusing Record" 1981

Box 10

"Discussion Paper on the Monetary Crisis" (CSIS Conference) circa 1981

Box 7

"Entrepreneurship in Economic Theory: The 'Scientific Method' and Vicarious Introspection," Jules Backman lecture, New York University 1981-1983

Scope and Contents note

Includes correspondence
Box 14, 55

"A Further Look at the Question, What If Gradualism Should Fail Despite Its Merits?" Contemporary Economic Problems, draft 1981

Box 1, 46, 54

"Gold and the Uneasy Case for Responsibly Managed Fiat Money" 1981

Box 10

"The Hazy Distinction Between Voluntary and Involuntary Unemployment" circa 1981

Box 7

"In Defense of the Credibility Hypothesis" 1981

Box 1

"March Into Socialism or Viable Stage of Postwar Capitalism?" 1981

Box 9

"Monetary-Policy Problems of Interest to Those Whose Decisions Are Complementary with Fed Policy" circa 1981

Box 1, 48

"On the Merits of Gradualism and on a Fall-back Position If It Should Nevertheless Fail," Contemporary Economic Problems 1981

Box 39, 51, 54

"Testimony Before the Finance Committee of the United States Senate" 1981

Box 42

"What If Gradualism as a Method of Disinflation Should Fail?" circa 1981

Box 51

"Why Policy Makers Need to Pay More Attention to the Crucial Role of Market Expectations," for the Joint Economic Committee 1981

Scope and Contents note

Includes correspondence
Box 7

"Approaches of Economists and of Other Observers to the Problems of Economic Growth" 1982

Box 26

"Aspects of the Problem of Budget Deficits," Contemporary Economic Problems 1982

Box 6, 19, 41

"Comments on Professor Peacock's Paper: Some Suggested Modifications of Significant Conclusions" 1982

 

"Criteria for Useful Targeting: Money Versus the Base and Other Variables," 1982

Box 55

Abstract 1982

Box 60

Reprints 1982

Box 3, 6, 41, 54

Typescript and proofs 1982

Scope and Contents note

Includes sketch of content
Box 5, 7

"Economic Policy for Recovery and Growth," with Phillip Cagan, Rudolph Penner, and Herbert Stein 1982

 

"Economic Theory Amidst Political Currents: The Spreading Interest in Monetarism and in the Theory of Market Expectations" 1982

Box 6, 19, 62

German version, "Wirtschaftstheorie im Kraftfeld gegenläufiger politischer Strömungen" 1982

Box 6, 19

Proofs 1982

Box 19

"Entrepreneurship in Economic Theory" 1982

 

"The High Employment Budget and the Potential Output: A Critique Focusing on Two Recent Contributions"

Box 24

Comments 1982

Box 68

Research and typescripts 1982

Box 47

Printed copy 1982

Box 6, 37, 48

Typescripts 1982

Box 1

"Savings Flows" and "How Its Fits into the Scenario" 1982 February 19

Box 49

"The 1983 CEA Report: Back to Neo-Keynesianism?" 1983

Box 49

"The AEI Economist," paper on John Maynard Keynes 1983

Box 7-8

"Comments on Monetary and Fiscal Policy" circa 1983

Box 7

"Comments and Suggestions Relating to Professor Boskin's Paper on Savings and Growth" circa 1983

Box 3

"Corporate Liquidity Under Stagflation and Disinflation" 1983 July 28

Box 25, 32, 61-62

"The Cost of Disinflation, Credibility and the Deceleration of Wages 1982-83," Fellner and Phillip Cagan 1983

Box 1, 25

"Currents and Countercurrents in Political and Economic Thought," Carnegie Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy 21 1983

Scope and Contents note

See also Carnegie-Rochester conference file, box 26
Box 37, 61, 67

"Monetary and Fiscal Policy in a Disinflationary Process: Justified and Unjustified Misgivings about Budget Deficits" 1983

Box 32

"Tentative Lessons from the Recent Disinflationary Effort," Phillip Cagan and Fellner 1983

Box 14, 30

"Testimony to Be Submitted to the Subcommittee on Domestic Monetary Policy of the Committee on Banking, Finance and Urban Affairs, House of Representatives" 1983

 

American Enterprise Institute file 1975-1984

Scope and Contents note

Includes correspondence, conference materials, a transcript of a presentation by Friedrich August von Hayek, and materials related to the Cotemporary Economic Problems project.
Box 16

Advisory Committee on Minimum Wage 1978-1980

Box 7

Anti-inflation and credibility sessions 1981-1982

Box 61

Conference on Exchange Rate Flexibility 1976

Box 43

Conference on International Comparisons of Productivity and Causes of the Slowdown 1982

Box 55

Conference on Legal Minimum Wages 1979

Scope and Contents note

Includes Fellner's comments
 

Contemporary Economic Problems 1979-1984

 

Chronological file

Scope and Contents note

Includes memoranda, correspondence, and typescripts of Fellner and other contributors, including Sven Arndt, Stanley Black, Phillip Cagan, Colin D. Campbell, Barry Chiswick, William Fellner, Murray Foss, Gottfried Haberler, D. Gale Johnson, John Kendrick, Marvin Kosters, Jack A. Meyer, Walter J. Mead, Geoffrey H. Moore, Attiat Ott, Mark Perlman, Thomas J Sargent, Herbert Stein, and John Weicher.
Box 45

1979

Box 46

1980, contributor drafts

Box 45

1980, final copies of manuscripts

Box 52, 63

1981

Box 46

1981, gold

Box 44

1981 to 1982, additional papers

Box 49

1982

Box 52

1982 to 1983

Box 44

1982 to 1983, figures and data

Box 39, 43, 51, 60-61

1983 to 1984

Scope and Contents note

Includes report of progress by Fellner, project timetable, memoranda, and papers
Box 44

Book reviews of Contemporary Economic Problems 1976-1980

 

Correspondence

Box 48

1979

Box 47

1979-1980

Box 48

1981

Box 48

1982

Box 26

Correspondence, progress report, and The AEI Memorandum newsletter 1982-1984

Box 44

Distribution and sales 1982

Box 9

Economic policy project #2 1976-1977

Box 62

Galley proofs of Contemporary Economic Problems 1978

Box 47

Mailing list 1979-1983

Box 19, 64

Memoranda 1978

Box 48

Outlines for 1983 and 1984 projects

Box 47-48

Papers by Fellner 1977-1980

Box 37

Phillips Curve Project 1983

Box 5

"The Present State of the Contemporary Economic Problems Project," by Fellner undated

Box 5

Summary and postscript by Gottfried Haberler undated

Box 47

Transcript of luncheon conference with Fellner 1978

Box 37

Writing fragment 1979

Box 5

"The Economic Planning Proposal" 1975

Box 60

Hayek, Friedrich August von, presentation transcript 1975

Box 59-60

Japan-U.S. Assembly 1975

Box 6

Monetary policy conference 1982

Box 55

Press conference transcript 1983

Box 10-11, 37-38, 67

Project on Major Economic Problems 1975-1976

Box 25

Proposal by Phillip Cagan for a conference on monetary policy in a changing financial environment 1983

Box 53

Proposal for a study group on international liquidity and lending policies by Thomas Willett 1977

 

Public Policy Week

Box 20

1980

Box 49

1981

Box 5, 7

1982

Box 35

Public Policy Forum on Inflation, transcripts 1977

Box 54

Seminar on Rational Expectations, conference papers 1980

 

Subject file 1964-1983

Scope and Contents note

Includes correspondence, conference papers, and economic statistics related to various organizations and groups that Fellner was a part of, including the Council of Economic Advisors and the Gold Commission.
Box 35

Allied Social Science Associations meeting, panel on international dimensions of monetary policy 1977

Box 7

American Council for Capital Formation, "New Directions in Federal Tax Policy for the 1980s" conference 1983

Box 20

Bellagio Group, Joint Conference of Officials and Academics, organized by the Bank of International Settlements, Basel 1977

Scope and Contents note

Includes letters from Fritz Machlup
Box 42

British parliamentarians appointment with American Enterprise Institute staff 1983

 

Brookings Panel on Economic Activity

 

Agendas, correspondence, and proposals

Box 9, 15, 58

1975-1981

Box 55

1983

 

Agendas and conference papers

Box 10, 32, 59

1975-1977, 1981-1982

Box 62

1983

Scope and Contents note

Includes papers by Gary Burtless, John Campbell, Robert Lawrence, Bonnie Loopesko, James Medoff, Jeffrey Sachs, Kermit Schoenholz, Jeffrey Shafer, and Robert Shiller.
 

Conference papers

Scope and Contents note

See also Writings by others
Box 20

1976

Box 11

1978

Box 30

1979

Box 11

European Monetary System conference 1979

Box 60

1980

Box 38

1982

 

Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)

Box 5

Memoradum from Zecher and Green to Alan Greenspan 1975

Box 5

"Progress Report on Modifications to the Financial Sector of the BEA Econometric Model" undated

Box 14

Quarterly Econometric Model Forecast 1980

Box 26

Carnegie-Rochester conference, Florida 1983

Box 15, 49

Claremont McKenna College, "The Reagan Economic Policy" conference 1982-1983

Box 43

Conference Board, "Colloquium on Alternatives for Economic Policy," program and papers 1981

Scope and Contents note

Includes papers by Fellner, Gardner Ackley, Rudolph Penner, Theodore Schultz, and Herbert Stein
 

Congressional Budget Office

Scope and Contents note

Includes agendas, correspondence, memoranda, meeting materials, and reports.
Box 30

1975

Box 8, 61

1976

Box 25, 44

1980

Box 14, 39

1981

Box 36, 50

1982

Box 35

Correspondence 1975-1983

 

Council of Economic Advisors, Executive Office of the President

Box 39

"The Current Status of the President's Program for Economic Recovery: A Background Paper for the Economic Policy Advisory Board" 1981

Box 59

"Economic Indicators" 1975

Box 64

Memoranda from George von Furstenberg 1975

Box 38, 59

Memoranda from David Munro 1974-1975

Box 5

Remarks by Fellner 1974

Box 3

Reports, Herbert Stein,William Fellner, Marina van Neumann, and Gary Seevers 1973-1974

Box 5

Statement by Herbert Stein, "Economic Developments in September" 1973

Box 18

Eurodollars and conferences in Switzerland 1974-1975

Box 47

Fauntroy/House Finance Committee testimony 1983

Box 24

Federal Reserve and other projects 1980-1982

Box 33, 50

Federal Reserve consultants meetings 1978-1982

Box 43

Federal Reserve, consumer price index (CPI), and GNP 1983

Box 14

Federal Reserve statistics and publications 1980

Box 8

Flow of funds 1974-1975

Box 6, 8, 18, 38, 61

General economic research, notes, charts, and tables 1969-1977, undated

 

Gold Commission

Box 3

Letter from Thomas Leddy

Box 18

Meeting transcripts, memoranda, and papers 1981

Box 24

Memorandum and papers 1980-1981

Box 3

Public hearings list of witnesses 1981 November

Box 3

Press release 1981

Box 50

Report, "An Alternative Course" 1982

Box 55

Report to Congress 1982

Box 14, 51

Testimony of Fellner, "Views Presented to the Gold Commission" 1981

Scope and Contents note

Includes correspondence
Box 28

Gold statistics from 1976 to 1979

Box 12

Government grant for travel to Germany and Italy 1970-1973

Box 57

Gramlich paper materials 1976-1978

Box 4

Group of Thirty meeting, Charlottesville, VA 1980

Box 3

Hermann Schumacher death notice 1982

Box 49

International economic policy meeting, George Shultz, State Department 1983

Box 17

International Monetary Advisory Board 1981

Box 39

Indexation 1974

Box 39

Inflation 1974

Box 60

International indebtedness 1983

Box 3, 6, 19, 37, 40

Kiel conferences 1982

Box 47

Machlup, Fritz, memorial service 1983

Box 35

Meeting of July 1977

Scope and Contents note

Includes papers by Sherwin Rosen and Attiat Ott
Box 30

Monetary file 1973-1974

Box 19

Monetary policy 1976-1982

Box 52, 68

National Bureau of Economic Research, Conference on a Retrospective on the Classical Gold Standard, conference papers 1981-1982

Box 5

National Economists Club, board of directors meeting minutes 1976

Box 8

New Troika 1974

Box 2, 30, 59

Office of Management and Budget, Advisory Committee on the Balance of Payments 1975

Box 53

Perloff-Wachter Study 1978

Scope and Contents note

Includes Fellner's comments
Box 37

Perry material and project undated

Box 39

Perry unemployment rate with old residuals, data undated

Box 8, 66

Productivity trends, charts 1976-1977

General note

See also box 18
Box 50

Project '87, papers of John Jay 1980-1982

General note

Project to promote study of the United States Constitution
Box 26

Reagan and Bush campaign 1980

Scope and Contents note

Includes typescript of "Rough Draft of Statement on the International Monetary Problem" by Gottfried Haberler and Fellner
Box 59

Statistical survey on oil data 1975

Box 42

Task Force on International Monetary Policy 1980

Box 22, 29

Tax indexation

Box 51, 54

Testimony of Fellner 1975-1981

Box 2, 59

Treasury Consultants Meeting, "Economic Situation and Outlook" 1975

 

Yale University

Box 12

Graduate course in economic theory (problems in the background of policy issues) 1972

Box 13

Correspondence, letters of recommendation, and list of participants 1972-1973

Box 12

Syllabus 1972

Box 28

Letter to Kingman Brewster, Jr. 1964

 

Writings by others 1951-1984

Scope and Contents note

Includes conference papers, preliminary drafts, and published writings of economists. See also the correspondence file for papers enclosed with letters and the Contemporary Economic Problems file for papers submitted to that publication.
Box 3, 31

Adams, James, "Equalization of the True Gift and Estate Tax Rates," Conference on Tax Research, Treasury Department 1975

Box 59

Ashenfelter, Orley, "Evaluating the Effects of the Employment Tax Credit," prepared for Brookings Conference on November 30, 1977

Box 31

Baily, Martin Neil, "Contract Theory and the Moderation of Inflationary Expectations by Recession and by Controls" 1976

Box 11

Baquiast, Henri, "The European Monetary System and International Monetary Relations" undated

 

Barnett, William et al.

Box 55

"The Information Content of Divisia Monetary Quantity Indices" 1980

Box 54

"New Concepts of Aggregated Money" undated

 

Barro, Robert J.

Box 8

"Are Government Bonds Net Wealth?" 1974

Box 50

"Measuring the Average Annual Tax Rate from the Individual Income Tax," with Chaipat Sahaskul 1982

Box 25

"Output Effects of Government Purchases" 1980

Box 28

"A Positive Theory of Monetary Policy in a Natural-Rate Model," with David B. Gordon 1981

Box 67

"Public Debt and Taxes" 1978

Box 62

"Social Security and Private Saving" 1977

 

Belassa, Bela

Box 59

"The Income Distributional Parameter in Project Evaluation" 1975

Box 5

"Recent and Prospective Economic Developments in France" 1980

Box 62

Bennet, J.F., "The Outlook for the International Financial System After the Recent Oil Price Changes" 1983

Box 5

Bergsten et al., "Approaches to Greater Flexibility of Exchange Rates" 1970

 

Bernstein, Edward M.

Box 61

"The Economics of Fluctuating Exchange Rates" undated

Box 50

"The Foreign Exchange Value of the Dollar and the U.S. Economy" 1983

Box 61

Bhatia, Kul, "International Bank for Reconstruction and Development" 1974

 

Blinder, Alan S.

Box 60

"The CPI and the (Mis)measurement of Recent Inflation," prepared for Brookings Panel on Economic Activity 1980

Box 30

"Indexing the Economy through Financial Intermediation," preliminary draft 1975

Box 1

Boskin and Green, "Taxation and Capital Formation: Missing Elements in the President's Tax Program" 1978 February

Box 66

Bourguinat, Henri, "The New French Financial and Monetary Policy" 1980

Box 1

Boyes and Kaufman, "Credibility Hypothesis: A Theoretical and Empirical Analysis" 1984 October

Box 1

Bradford, David F., "Cutting and Reforming the Personal Income Tax" 1978 February

Box 60

Brainard, William, John Shoven, and Lawrence Weiss, "The Financial Valuation of the Return to Capital" 1980

Box 3

Brennan and Buchanan, "Toward a Tax Constitution for Leviathan" 1977

 

Brittan, Samuel

Box 67

"How English Is the English Sickness?" Eighth Henry Simons Lecture 1978

Box 3, 6

"Washington Sounds a New Note" 1982

Box 41

Broida, Arthur L., draft for Inflation Watch 1982

Box 36

Browning, Edgar, "Welfare Reform" undate

Box 36

Brozen, Yale, "The Road to Recovery" 1976

Box 30

Bryant, Ralph C., "Financial Interdependence and Variability in Exchange Rates," prepared for colloquium Europe and the Dollar in the World Disequilibrium 1979

Box 50

Buiter, Willem and Marcus Miller, "The Economic Consequences of Mrs. Thatcher" 1983

Box 54

Burns, Arthur, "Regaining a Stable Price Level" 1981

Box 30

Butschak, Felix, "Full Employment During Recession," prepared for AEI conference on Political Economy of Austria 1981

Box 42

Buttler, Hans-Jurg and Kurt Schiltknecht, "Transitory Changes in Monetary Policy and Their Implications on Money Stock Control" 1982

Scope and Contents note

See also correspondence, S file, box 33
 

Cagan, Phillip

Box 14

"The Choice Among Monetary Aggregates as Targets and Indicators for Monetary Policy," AEI conference 1982

Box 41

"The Effect of Government Deficits on Aggregate Demand and Financial Markets: A Wide-ranging Review of the Literature and Current Policy Issues"

Box 8

"Monetary Policy undated

Box 57

"Monetary Policy and Inflation Since 1973" 1976

Box 38

"Monetary Problems and Policy Choices in Reducing Inflation and Unemployment" 1976

Box 5

"Public Policy Week" undated

Box 34

"The Reduction of Inflation by Slack Demand" 1978

Box 56, 62

Chase Econometric Associates, "The Economic Impact of NASA R&D Spending Appendices" 1975

 

Chiswick, Barry

Box 31

"The Effect of Americanization on Earnings" 1976

Box 34

"Immigrants and Immigration Policy" 1978

Box 58

Clark, Kim and Lawrence Summers, "Labor Market Dynamics and Unemployment: A Reconsideration," prepared for Brookings Panel on Economic Activity 1979

Box 6

Clark, Lindley, "How We Got Into the Monetarist Mess" 1983

 

Coats, Warren L., Jr.

Box 52

"Can the Federal Reserve Control the Money Supply?" undated

Box 4

"Recent Monetary Policy Strategies in the United States" 1980

Box 38

Cooper, Richard, "The Gold Standard: Historical Facts and Future Prospects," prepared for the Brookings Panel on Economic Activity 1982

Box 58

Corden, W. M., "The Effect of the Oil Price Rise on the International Economy: Theoretical Framework" 1975

Box 31

Cox, James and Arthur Wright, "Taxation, Public Policy and the Petroleum Industry," Conference on Tax Policy, Treasury Department 1975

Box 61, 64

Crandall, Robert W., "Federal Government Initiatives to Reduce the Price Level," prepared for the Brookings Panel on Economic Activity 1978

Box 34

Denison, Edward F., "Discussion" 1978

Box 62

Department of the Treasury, "Government Deficit Spending and Its Effects on Prices of Financial Assets" 1983

Box 59

Dernburg, Thomas, "Inflation Indexing of the Personal income Tax," International Monetary Fund 1975

Scope and Contents note

Includes correspondence
Box 60

Dildine, Larry and Emil Sunley, "The Administrative Problems of Tax-Based Incomes Policies," prepared for Brookings Panel on Economic Activity 1978

Box 5

Diller, Stanley, "Credit Allocation" 1976

 

Dornbusch, Rudiger

Box 36

Chapter on economic policy with Stan Fischer undated

Box 9

"Exchange Rates and the Capital Mobility Problem"

Box 64

"Lecture Notes on Macroeconomics: Part V, Inflation and Unemployment" 1975

 

Dreyer, Jacob

Box 41

"Free World Industrial Demand for Gold" 1980

Box 41

Memorandum on direct cost of maintaining an official price of gold 1980

Box 41

"Returns on Gold and Alternative Financial Assets" 1980

Box 5

Dunning, John, "Economic Analysis and the Multinational Enterprise" 1972

Box 30

Eisner, Robert and Paul J. Pieper, "A New View of the Federal Debt and Budget Deficits" 1983

Box 34

Ellis, Howard S., "Some Notes Toward a Successful Analysis of Stagflation" undated

Box 11

Emerson, Michael, "The European Monetary System in the Broader Setting of the Community's Economic and Political Development" 1979

Box 58

Emminger, Otmar, "On the Way to a New International Monetary Order" 1976

Box 39

Englander, Steve and Cornelis Los, "The Stability of the Phillips Curve and Its Implications for the 1980s" 1983

Scope and Contents note

Includes correspondence
 

Erb, Richard

Box 38

"Oil and Metals Don't Mix" undated

Box 42

"The OPEC Financial Surpluses and the International Financial System" 1980

Box 2, 5

Federal Reserve press releases and papers 1976-1977, 1980

Box 2

1976-1977

Box 5

1980

Box 39

"Analysis of the Impact of Lagged Reserve Accounting" 1977

Box 42, 54

Feige, Edgar L., "A New Perspective on Macroeconomic Phenomena" 1980

 

Feldstein, Martin

Box 3, 31, 60

"Inflation, Income Taxes and the Rate of Interest: A Theoretical Analysis," Conference on Tax Research, Treasury Department 1975

Box 10

"Inflation, Tax Rules, and the Long Term Interest Rate," with Lawrence Summers 1977

Box 5

"Is the Rate of Profit Falling?" with Lawrence Summers 1977

Box 58

"The Stagflation Problems," testimony before the Joint Economic Committee 1979

Box 59

"Strengthening Social Security," testimony before Ways and Means Committee 1975

Box 64

"Temporary Layoffs in the Theory of Unemployment" 1975

Box 30

Fischer, Stanley, "Wage-Indexation and Macroeconomic Stability" 1975

Box 31

Flanagan, Robert J., "Wage Interdependence in Unionized Labor Markets" 1976

Box 54

Fort, Donald, "Curbing Inflation Without Recession" 1980

Scope and Contents note

Includes correspondence
Box 61

Foss, Murray, "Some Corporate Practices Under Inflation and Disinflation," outline for Contemporary Economic Problems paper 1982

Box 54

Fowler, Henry undated

Box 39

Frenkel, Jacob, "Exchange Rates, Prices and Money: Lessons from the 1920s" 1980

 

Friedman Benjamin M.

Box 29

"Monetary Policy for the 1976 Recovery" 1975

Box 56

"Public Disclosure and Domestic Monetary Policy," preliminary draft 1976

Box 28, 39

"The Relative Stability of Money and Credit 'Velocities' in the United States" 1980-1981

Scope and Contents note

Includes correspondence
Box 60

Friedman, Milton, "Monetary Policy and Economic Conditions," memorandum to the President's Economic Policy Advisory Board 1983

Box 6

Giersch and Wolter, "Ausbruch aus der Stagnation" 1982

Box 2

Godley, Wynne and Adrian Wood, "Stock Appreciation and the Crisis of British Industry" 1974

 

Gordon, Roger

Box 38

"Assessing the Risk of Corporate Bankruptcies in the Recent Recession," prepared for the Brookings Panel on Economic Activity 1982

Box 1

"Beyond Monetarism" 1982 December

Box 10

"Discussion of Charles Schultz's 'Some Macro Foundations of Micro Theory'" 1981

Box 10

"Has the Inflation of the 1970s Been a Surprise?" 1977

Box 38

"The Output Cost of Disinflation in Traditional and Vector-Autoregressive Models," with Stephen R. King, prepared for the Brookings Panel on Economic Activity 1982

Box 35

Graetz, Michael, "Description of Proposed Research on Taxation of Consumption 1976

 

Gramlich, Edward M.

Box 59

"Evaluating Countercyclical Revenue Sharing" 1977

Box 67

"The Optimal Timing of Employment in a Recession" 1975

Box 41

"Responses to Price Shocks in Different Models of the Inflation Process" 1978

Scope and Contents note

Includes correspondence
 

Haberler, Gottfried

Box 49

"The International Monetary System and the State of the World Economy" circa 1982

Box 11, 38

"The Problem of Stagflation," AEI Project on Major Economic Problems 1976

Box 59

"Stagflation: An Analysis of its Causes and Cures," contribution to Fellner Festschrift 1975

Box 3

Hall, R.E., "Investment, Interest Rates and the Effects of Stabilization Policies" 1977

Box 5

Hamburger, Michael "Targets and Indicators of Monetary Policy: A Comment" 1982

Box 31

Hendershott, Patric, "The Impact of a Tax Cut on Interest Rates and Investment, Crowding Out, Pulling In and All That," Conference on Tax Research, Treasury Department 1975

Box 64

Hsiao, James, "A Pedagogical Note on Transformation Curve" 1974

Scope and Contents note

Includes correspondence
Box 31

Hughes, John S., "Corporate International Diversification and Market Assigned Measures of Risk and Diversification" 1975

Box 39

International Monetary Fund 1973-1974

Box 5

Jahr, Walter Adolf, "Inflation and Indexing" 1967 May

Box 58

Jaszi, George, "Some Comments on the Economic Outlook and on Inflation" circa 1975

 

Johannes, James M. and Robert H. Rasche,

Box 14

"Can the Reserves Approach to Monetary Control Really Work?" 1981

Box 34

"Money Multiplier Forecasts," prepared for Shadow Open Market Committee

Box 49

Johnson, D. Gale, "Progress of Economic Reform in the People's Republic of China" 1982

 

Johnson, Harry

Box 12

"The Monetary Approach to Balance of Payments Theory" 1971

Box 58

"World Inflation and the International Monetary System" 1975

Box 5

Johnson, Keith, "Policy Choices in the Current Economic Situation" 1975

Box 2

Joint Economic Committee of the US, "US Economic Growth from 1976 to 1986" 1976

Box 1

Jones, Sidney, "The Capital Budget Alternative: Toward a Reconstruction of Federal Budgeting" 1982 December

Box 59

Kafka, Alexandre, "The Future of Gold" undated

Box 61

Kaldor, Nicholas, "The Role of Devaluation in the Adjustment of Balance of Payments Deficits" 1982

 

Kalman, R.E.

Box 3

"Identification from Real Data" 1982

Box 34

"System-Theoretic Critique of Dynamic Economic Models" 1979

Box 28

Katz, Smauel I., introductory remarks at German-American Forum 1980

 

Kendrick, John W.

Box 60

"Comments on Paper by Edwin Mansfield, 'Long Waves and Technological Innovation'" 1982

Box 36

"Productivity and Economic Progress" 1956

Box 2

"Sources of Productivity Growth," draft 1976

Box 2

"Total Investment and Productivity Developments" 1977

Box 39

Klopstock, Fred, "Recycling Petro-Dollars" 1974

Box 39

Kohn, Meir, "A Loanable Funds Theory of Unemployment and Monetary Disequilibrium" 1981

 

Kosters, Marvin

Box 41

Testimony 1978

Box 39

"The Voluntary Wage and Price Standards: Reporting on Their Performance" 1980

Box 5

"Wage-Price Behavior, Prospects and Policies," draft 1977

 

Lawrence, Robert

Box 10

"An Analysis of the 1977 Trade Deficit" 1977

Box 62

"Is Trade Deindustrializing America?" 1983

Box 58

"Toward a Better Understanding of Trade Balance Trends," prepared for Brookings Panel on Economic Activity 1978

Box 6

Leeuw, Frank de, "An Alternative to Potential GNP and the High Employment Budget" and "A New Noncyclical Budget," draft 1983

Box 25

Leeuw, Frank de and Thomas M. Holloway, "Measuring and Analyzing the Cyclically Adjusted Budget" 1983

Box 41

Leijonhufvud, Axel, "The Wicksell Connection" 1978

Box 66

Levin, Jay, "A Framework for Analyzing the Coordination of Stabilization Policies Between the US and the Rest of the World" undated

Box 60

Levy, Frank, "Have Black Men Gained in Employment?" prepared for Brookings Panel on Economic Activity 1980

Box 35

Levy, Michael, "Constraining Inflation: Concerns, Complacencies, and Evidence" 1975

Box 38

Lindsey, David E., "Recent Monetary Developments and Controversies," prepared for the Brookings Panel on Economic Activity 1982

 

Lluch, Constantino

Box 59

"International Patterns in the Elasticity of the Marginal Utility of Income and Expenditure," with R. Williams 1974

Box 59

"Questions and Answers About the Revision of the Composite Index of Leading Indicators" 1975

Box 31

MacCrimmon, Kenneth and Stig Larsson, "Utility Theory: Axioms versus Paradoxes" 1979

Box 30

Makin, John H., "Deficits and Interest Rates" 1982

Box 30

Martin, Preston, "Remarks Before the Society of American Business and Economic Writers" 1983

Box 18

Mayer, Helmut

Box 34

McCulloch, J. Huston, "The Ban on Indexed Bonds, 1933-1977" circa 1978

Box 1

McLure, Charles E., "Integrating the Income Taxes: Sardines or Worms?" 1975

Box 11

McMahon, Christopher, paper for Brookings Institute conference on the European monetary system 1979

Scope and Contents note

Includes comments of Fellner
Box 56

Meigs, A. James, "The Role of Information Disclosure in International Monetary Policy," prepared for American Enterprise Institute 1978

 

Meiselman, Daniel

Box 55

"Business Conditions and Financial Markets" 1983

Box 55

Comment on Joseph T. Salerno's "Gold Standards: True and False," Cato Institute Conference 1983

 

Meltzer, Allan

Box 54

"Central Bank Policy" circa 1980

Box 50

"Long and Short Term Interest Rates in a Risky World," with Angleo Mascaro 1982

Box 16

"Monetarist, Keynesian and Quantity Theories" 1977

Box 14, 50

"Monetary Reform in an Uncertain Environment," prepared for the 1982 meeting of the Mont Pèlerin Society 1982

Box 50

"On Keynes and Monetarism," prepared for the Keynes Centenary 1983

Box 2

"Velocity of the Money Base"

Box 4

Menezes,Tressler, Kuhlman, "A Limited Joint Profit Maximization Theory of Collusion" undated

Scope and Contents note

Includes correspondence
Box 11

Mentre de Loye, Paul, "The European Monetary System: An Outlook" 1979

Box 3, 31

Miller, Merton and Charles Upton, "Leasing, Buying and the Cost of Capital Services," Conference on Tax Research, Treasury Department 1975

Box 10

Mishkin, Frederick, "Why Should Consumer Sentiment Be so Important to Consumer Durable Expenditure?" 1977

Box 38, 50

Mitchell, Daniel, "Recent Union Contract Concessions," prepared for the Brookings Panel on Economic Activity 1982

Box 59

Mitchell, Edward, testimony before Ways and Means Committee 1975

Box 3

Modigliani and Steindel, "Is a Tax Rebate an Effective Tool for Stabilization Policy" 1977

Box 61

Molsberger, Josef, "How Floating Has Worked: A European View" undated

 

Moore, Geoffrey

Box 37

"Another 1929?" undated

Box 38

"Employment, Unemployment and the Inflation-Recession Dilemma" undated

Box 64

"Employment vs. Unemployment as a Guide to Full Employment" 1975

Box 14

"Inflation and Statistics -- Again" 1981

Box 67

"A Long-Run Look at the Business Cycle" 1980

Box 64

Morgan, David R., "Inflation and Progressive Personal Taxation" 1975

Box 36

Murphy, J. Carter, "The United States in World Markets" 1977

Box 56

Murphy, Neil, "Bank Supervision and Regulation in the Sunshine" undated

Box 37

Narasimham, Gorti, "Policy Multipliers in the BEA Quarterly Econometric Model," Survey of Current Business undated

Box 5

Nordhaus, William, "The Interaction between Oil and the Economy in the Industrialized Countries" 1980

Box 42

Novak, Michael, chapter from The Spirit of Democratic Capitalism 1980

Scope and Contents note

Includes memorandum from John Cooper
Box 2

Office of Economic Research, "Economic Indicators" 1977

Box 59

Office of the Secretary of the Treasury, Office of Tax Analysis, "The Effects of Excise Taxes on Income Tax Collections" undated

Box 62

Olsen, Leif, "The Bretton Woods Nostalgia," speech before the International Banking and Global Financing Conference 1983

 

Okun, Arthur

Box 61

"Asset Markets," chapter 5 circa 1979

Scope and Contents note

Includes memorandum to Wednesday Afternoon Club
Box 31

"Inflation: Its Mechanics and Welfare Costs," Brookings Panel on Economic Activity 1975

Box 42

Prices and Quantities: A Macroeconomic Analysis 1981

Box 61

"Prices and Quantities in Cyclical Fluctuations" 1979

Box 5

"Statement by Arthur Okun, Brookings Institution, before Committee on Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs" 1978

Box 5

Olsen, Mancur, "Political Economy of Comparative Growth Rates" 1978

Box 3

Ott, Attiat, "Disinflation and the Federal Budget" 1983

Box 6, 14

Peacock, Alan, "Reducing Government Expenditure Growth: A British View, Conference: Reassessing the Role of Government in the Mixed Economy" 1982

 

Penner, Rudolph

Box 21

"Government Budgets" 1979

Box 36

"The Growth in Government Spending" undated

 

Perlman, Mark

Box 3

"Collective Bargaining and Industrial Relations: The Past, the Present and the Future" 1983

Box 36

"Fertility in Social Science Models" 1977

Box 59

Perloff, Jeffrey, "Approaches to Evaluating the Local Public Works Program" 1977

 

Perry, George

Box 31

"Determinants of Wage Inflation Around the World," Brookings Panel on Economic Activity 1975

Box 64

"Tax Cuts and the Economic Outlook" 1978

Box 25

"What Have We Learned About Disinflation?" Brooking Panel on Economic Activity 1983

 

Phelps, Edmund S.

Box 62

"Checking Contractual Inflation Without Causing Recession" 1977

Box 30

"Okun's Micro-Macro System: A Review Article" undated

Box 58

Porter, Richard, Thomas Simpson, and Eileen Mauskopf, "Financial Innovation and the Monetary Aggregates," prepared for Brookings Panel on Economic Activity 1979

Box 50

Rashish, Myer, "The International Impact of American Economic Policy" 1982

Box 64

Rees, Albert, "New Policies to Fight Inflation" 1978

Box 35

Ripley, Frank C., "Economic Policy and Growth: A Production Function Approach" 1977

Box 31

Ronk, Sally, "Current Economic and Financial Trends" 1974

Box 2

Rosen, Sherwin, "Improving the Structure of Labor Markets" 1977

Box 1

Ruggles, Richard and Nancy, "Integrated Economic accounts for the United States 1947-1980, " manuscript on United States wealth using national balance sheets 1981 November 18

Box 62

Rutledge, John, "Statement Before the U.S. Senate Committee on the Budget" 1982

 

Salant, Walter

Box 47

Reprints 1951-1981

Scope and Contents note

Includes correspondence
Box 31

"Surveillance of Exchange Rate Policies: Comments on Papers by Giersch and Cooper" 1976

Box 58

"Theories of World Stagflation" 1976

Box 1

Sargent, Thomas J., "The Ends of Four Big Inflations," National Bureau of Economic Research study 1980 August

Box 1

Schelling, Thomas C. "Choice and Consequence" 1984

Box 25

Schioppa, Tommaso Padoa, "Rules and Institutes in the Government of Multicountry Economies" 1983

Box 60

Shimano, Takuji, "Disorder in the International Monetary System," prepared for Japan-U.S. Assembly 1975

Box 41

Simpson, Thomas et al., "Recent Revisions in the Money Stock" circa 1981

Box 38

Sims, Christopher, "Policy Analysis with Econometric Models," prepared for the Brookings Panel on Economic Activity 1982

Box 8

Sinai, Allen, "The Prospects of a Capital Shortage in the US" 1976

Box 2

Smith, James D., editor, "The Personal Distribution of Income and Wealth" 1975

Box 31

Sohmen, Egon, "Allocative Efficiency and Antitrust" 1975

Box 8

Solomon, Anthony M., "Responding to Financial Stresses" 1983

Box 3

Spann, Robert, "Tax Revenue and Economic Effects of Tax Exempt State and Local Bonds" 1975

Box 59

Spitaeller, E., "An Analysis of Inflation in the Seven Main Industrial Countries, 1958-76" 1977

 

Stein, Herbert

Box 19

"Agenda for the Study of Macroeconomic Policy" 1982

Box 41

"Expectations, Credibility, and All That" 1981

Box 38, 57

"Fiscal Policy" undated

Box 19

"How to Cut Taxes" 1978

Box 50

"Interest Rate Anxieties" 1983

Box 59

"Mystery of the Declining Dollar" 1978

Box 52

"Presidents and Economists" 1981

Box 44

"Remembrance of Administrations Past" 1981

Box 39

"Suppose There Is No Recession" 1982

Box 60

"A View of Monetary Policy, 1979-1982" 1983

Box 62

"What Can Money Do?" 1983

 

Summers, Lawrence

Box 10

"Measuring Unemployment," Brookings Institution 1981

Box 60

"Unemployment in the 1980 Recession" prepared for Brookings Panel on Economic Activity circa 1980

 

Sweeney, Richard and Thomas Willett

Box 61

"Concepts of Efficiency and Speculation in the Foreign Exchange Market" undated

Box 60

"The International Transmission of Inflation," prepared for Conference on Bank Credit, Money and Inflation in Open Economies 1974

Box 59

Tanzi, Vito, "Inflation, Indexation, and Interest Income Taxation" 1975

 

Taylor, John B.

Box 4

"Cyclical Swings in Inflation and Output" 1980

Box 38

"The Swedish Investment Funds System as a Stabilization Policy Rule," prepared for the Brookings Panel on Economic Activity 1982

Box 49

Terleckyj, Nestor, "R&D, Innovation and the Economy" 1983

Box 35

Theil, Henri, "The System-Wide Approach to Microeconomics," Hennipman Lecture 1978

 

Tideman, T. Nicolaus

Box 59, 66

"The Impact on Investment Incentives of Tax Credits, Inflation, and Inflation Adjustments" 1975

Box 31

"Saving and Investment Aspects of Corporate and Personal Tax Integration," with Warrem Weber, Conference on Tax Research, Treasury Department 1975

Box 4

Tinsely, P.A. et al., "Policy Robustness" 1982

 

Tobin, James

Box 39

"Asset Accumulation and Economic Activity: Reflections on Contemporary Macroeconomic Theory" 1978

Box 9

"Stabilization Policy Ten Years After" 1980

 

Triffin, Robert

Box 37

"How to End the World 'Infession: Paliatives or Fundamental Reforms?" Centre for European Policy Studies Conference 1982

Box 59

"The Threat to World Economic Order," prepared for the Japan-U.S. Assembly 1975

Scope and Contents note

Includes comments
Box 2

Tullock, Gordon, "On Inflation and the Debt" 1975

Box 8

Tumlir, Jan, "The New Protectionism: Transatlantic Similarities and Contrasts,Conference on Challenges to a Liberal International Economic Order" 1977

Box 60

Uchida, Tadao, "Threat to World Economy from Inflation and Recession," prepared for Japan-U.S. Assembly 1980

Box 30

Vak, Karl, "Innovation and International Competitiveness, Commerce Bank, Vienna," prepared for AEI conference on Political Economy of Austria 1981

Box 66

Vasquez, Thomas, ADR paper outline

 

Volker, Paul

Box 39

"Informal Remarks to the American Enterprise Institute" 1979

Box 36

"The International Exchange Rate System" 1976

Box 42

"Statement Before the Committee on Banking, Finance and Urban Affairs" 1980

Box 3

"Statement Before Subcommittee on Domestic Monetary Policy" 1980

Box 5

"Sustainable Recovery: Setting the Stage, presentation to 58th Annual Meeting of New England Council" 1982

 

Von Furstenberg, George

Box 38, 57

"Corporate Taxes and Financing Under Continuing Inflation" undated

Box 25

"Fiscal Deficits: From Business as Usual to a Breach of the Policy Rules?" 1983

Box 31

"Flow of Funds Analysis and the Economic Outlook" 1975

Scope and Contents note

Includes correspondence
Box 58

"The Government and Capital Formation," with Burton Malkiel undated

Box 59

"Stabilization Characteristics of Unemployment Insurance" 1976

 

Wallich, Henry C.

Box 39

"Exchange-Market Intervention: Issues and Views" 1982

Box 14

"Foreign Exchange: New Tactics Needs?" 1980

Box 59

"From Multiplier to Quantity Theory" 1975

Box 35

"Maintaining the Strength of the International Capital Market" 1977

Box 39

"Some Uses of Ecnomics" 1982

Box 29

Weber, Arnold R., "Collective Bargaining and Wage Settlements in 1976" undated

Box 38

Weidenbaum, Murray, "The Potential for Reducing Inflationary Pressures by Reforming Government Regulation" undated

Box 3

Weitzman, Martin, "Negotiating Contracts for Full Employment" undated

Box 2

Welch, Finish, "Minimum Wages 1977: A Misguided Idea Whose Time Has Passed" 1977

Box 2

Wenglowski, Gary "The 1977-1978 Business Outlook: Supply Inflation" 1977

Box 21

Wenninger, John and Charles Sivesind, "Changing the MI Definition" 1979

Box 35

White, James, "The Implications of Index-Linked Financial Contracts for General Economic Stability" 1975

Box 2

White, W.H., "The Anti-inflationary Advantages from Indexation of Financial Contracts" 1975

Scope and Contents note

Includes correspondence
Box 5

White, William, "Improving the Demand for Money Function in Moderate Inflation, IMF" 1977

 

Whitman, Marina v.N.

Box 38

"International Interdependence and the U.S. Economy" 1976

Box 62

"The Management of U.S. Economic Relations with Other Industrialized Countries" undated

Scope and Contents note

Includes correspondence
Box 31

"The Viability of the International Economic Order" 1976

 

Willett, Thomas D.

Box 67

"On Applying Public Choice Analysis to the Study of International Integration," preliminary draft 1979

Box 60

"The Eurocurrency Market, Exchange Rate Systems, and National Financial Policies" 1974

Box 5

Wingerter, Robert G., "We Can Only Have What We Produce" 1975

Scope and Contents note

Includes correspondence
Box 60

Wojnilower, A. M., "The Central Role of Credit Crunches in Recent Financial History," prepared for Brookings Panel on Economic Activity 1980

Box 41

Yeager, Leland B., Experiences with Stopping Inflation, manuscript 1980

Box 11

Ypersele, Jacques van, "Operating Principles and Procedures of the European Monetary System" 1979

 

Index cards undated

Scope and Contents note

Contains index cards containing contact information for individuals, such as addresses and phone numbers.
Box 65

Contact information file undated

 

Sound recordings 1977-1982

Scope and Contents note

Contains recordings of discussions on economics with Henry Aaron, Phillip D. Cagan, William Fellner, Rudolph Penner, and Herbert Stein.
 

Sound recording of the Public Policy Forums program 27 May 1977

Conditions Governing Access note

Use copy reference number: 87005_a_0003733

Scope and Contents note

Dr. Henry Aaron, assistant secretary of health, education, and welfare for planning and evaluation in the Carter administration, and Dr. Rudolph Penner, resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute, discuss ways to avoid bankruptcy of the Social Security program. Aaron explains the Carter administration's solution to the problem, and then alternate solutions--increasing payroll taxes, raising the retirement age, changing the husband/wife payment system--are proposed and debated.
 

Sound recording of the Public Policy Forums program 10 December 1982

Conditions Governing Access note

Use copy reference number: 87005_a_0003735

Scope and Contents note

Dr. Phillip D. Cagan, Dr. William Fellner, Dr. Rudolph Penner, and Dr. Herbert Stein discuss policies for economic recovery and growth. Regarding what should and should not be done to improve the economic situation in 1982, they consider the role of the Federal Reserve, the importance of keeping inflation down, why proposals in Congress will not successfully deal with unemployment, and raising taxes.